Ensemble flood, short-term and seasonal river flow forecasting

Project Leader: Q J Wang
Staff: Dr Tony Zhao, Dr Wenyan Wu, Assoc Prof Rory Nathan
Student: Suwash Acharya
Collaborators: Dr David Robertson (CSIRO), Dr Narendra Tuteja (Bureau of Meteorology)
Sponsors: Bureau of Meteorology
Primary Contact: Q J Wang (quan.wang@unimelb.edu.au)
Keywords: catchment management; climate change adaptation; environmental hydrology and water resources; hydroclimatology; numerical modelling
Disciplines: Infrastructure Engineering
Domains: Optimisation of resources and infrastructure

Accurate forecasts of river flows and flood levels over both short-term (hours) and longer term (seasonal) is critical to effective management of floods, droughts and water variability in general. Development of forecasting systems requires integration of weather and climate sciences with hydrology, and integration of mathematical and computer modeling with observations.

There is opportunity to improve many components of forecasting systems, including ensemble spatial data imputation and interpolation, post-processing ensemble weather and climate forecasts from numerical weather prediction models and coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models, hydrological modelling, hydrological prediction updating, uncertainty quantification and propagation, and verification of ensemble climate and streamflow forcasts.

Further information: http://findanexpert.unimelb.edu.au/display/person241 http://www.hepex.org